Vitória vs Atlético Alagoinhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.5%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.5%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.7%
3.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
VAS
0 - 2
VIT
64%
20%
16%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
VIT
0 - 0
PAL
35%
25%
40%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
VIT
4 - 2
GRE
34%
26%
41%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
ATP
2 - 1
VIT
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
VIT
0 - 1
ATM
44%
25%
32%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
CON
2 - 0
ALA
49%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2008 |
ALA
4 - 2
PET
64%
21%
15%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
ALA
0 - 0
ASA
51%
25%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
ASA
2 - 0
ALA
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Jul. 2008 |
PET
1 - 0
ALA
27%
25%
48%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -2 |