Vitória vs Frei Paulistano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
14%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.7%
11%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
4%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
VIT
2 - 1
ALA
81%
13%
5%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
IMP
0 - 0
VIT
15%
21%
64%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
BAH
0 - 2
VIT
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
VIT
1 - 2
VIT
9%
17%
74%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 1
VIT
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
AFP
1 - 2
REM
11%
17%
72%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
AFP
2 - 4
CON
15%
19%
66%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
AFP
2 - 1
ITA
28%
25%
48%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
AFP
0 - 2
NAU
8%
16%
76%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
AMP
3 - 2
AFP
8%
13%
79%
|
40 | 5 | 35 | -2 |