Vitória vs Doce Mel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
4DE
1 - 1
VIT
7%
16%
76%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
VIT
2 - 0
RIO
78%
15%
8%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
VIT
3 - 1
TRE
77%
15%
7%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
BAH
1 - 1
VIT
11%
19%
70%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
CON
0 - 0
VIT
28%
24%
49%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Doce Mel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
ADA
0 - 0
BAH
17%
20%
63%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
ADA
1 - 1
JAC
14%
19%
67%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
ALA
3 - 0
ADA
66%
20%
14%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
UNI
0 - 0
ADA
53%
21%
26%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 0
ADA
71%
16%
13%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |