Vitória vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
GOI
3 - 0
VIT
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
SCI
1 - 0
VIT
59%
23%
17%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
VIT
1 - 0
COT
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 0
VIT
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
VIT
0 - 0
IFC
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 1
POR
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
POR
3 - 1
BOT
24%
25%
51%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
ATP
2 - 0
POR
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
SCI
1 - 0
POR
62%
22%
15%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
POR
1 - 1
ATM
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |