Europa League 1/32
Global 6-2
Vitória Setúbal vs Zagłębie Sosnowiec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
10.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
VST
5 - 0
FCB
78%
15%
7%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1972 |
BEL
0 - 0
VST
23%
30%
48%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1972 |
VST
0 - 1
FAB
77%
16%
7%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1972 |
FCP
0 - 1
VST
36%
29%
35%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1972 |
VST
4 - 0
FAR
87%
9%
4%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Zagłębie Sosnowiec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 1972 |
ZAG
1 - 1
POG
57%
23%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1972 |
ZAG
0 - 3
ZAG
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1972 |
ZAG
2 - 0
TSP
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1972 |
ZAG
1 - 0
STA
57%
21%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 1972 |
GWA
3 - 1
ZAG
46%
24%
30%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |