Vitória Setúbal vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1975 |
FCP
1 - 1
VST
49%
26%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
VST
2 - 0
ACA
77%
16%
8%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
OLH
1 - 1
VST
26%
29%
45%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
VST
0 - 0
BEL
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
SCP
1 - 0
VST
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1975 |
VIT
0 - 1
SLB
24%
27%
50%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
VIT
2 - 0
FCP
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1975 |
ACA
3 - 3
VIT
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
VIT
4 - 0
OLH
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
BEL
2 - 1
VIT
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |