Vitória Setúbal vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
13.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1946 |
OLI
2 - 0
VST
29%
23%
48%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1946 |
VST
5 - 0
BOA
79%
12%
9%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1946 |
BEL
3 - 2
VST
80%
12%
9%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1946 |
VST
0 - 7
SCP
25%
20%
56%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1946 |
SLE
5 - 2
VST
55%
19%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1946 |
ACA
2 - 0
VIT
66%
17%
17%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1946 |
VIT
1 - 0
OLI
81%
11%
8%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1946 |
BOA
0 - 1
VIT
57%
19%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1946 |
VIT
2 - 4
BEL
19%
19%
62%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1946 |
SCP
2 - 3
VIT
85%
9%
6%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | +2 |