Vitória Setúbal vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
15.8%
16%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1945 |
VST
3 - 8
SLB
16%
18%
66%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1944 |
OLH
3 - 3
VST
71%
15%
14%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1944 |
ACA
1 - 2
VST
67%
16%
17%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1944 |
VST
4 - 1
SAL
76%
14%
10%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1944 |
EST
3 - 1
VST
63%
18%
19%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1945 |
VIT
2 - 1
OLH
34%
21%
45%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1944 |
SCP
5 - 2
VIT
93%
5%
2%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1944 |
VIT
1 - 1
BEL
17%
18%
66%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1944 |
FCP
10 - 0
VIT
88%
7%
5%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1944 |
VIT
4 - 1
ACA
57%
19%
25%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |