Vitória Setúbal vs Vilafranquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
6.5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
VST
0 - 1
GFC
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1999 |
EST
3 - 0
VST
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1999 |
VST
1 - 1
FAR
61%
22%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
RIO
1 - 1
VST
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1999 |
SAN
2 - 1
VST
48%
26%
27%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |