Vitória Setúbal vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
PEN
3 - 3
VST
35%
28%
37%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
VST
2 - 0
POR
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
VST
1 - 1
BEL
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
SCP
3 - 4
VST
79%
16%
5%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2003 |
VST
2 - 2
SPB
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
VAR
1 - 0
FCM
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
OVA
4 - 1
VAR
40%
25%
35%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
SAN
2 - 2
VAR
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
VAR
0 - 3
ACA
43%
26%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
FCP
3 - 2
VAR
80%
13%
7%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |