Vitória Setúbal vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
16.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1998 |
MAR
1 - 0
VST
63%
21%
15%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1998 |
VST
1 - 3
SAL
51%
25%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1998 |
SLB
2 - 0
VST
76%
17%
7%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1998 |
VST
1 - 2
BOA
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1998 |
VST
0 - 0
VIT
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1998 |
VAR
3 - 0
CAM
37%
27%
37%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1998 |
LEC
1 - 0
VAR
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1998 |
VAR
2 - 2
EST
38%
29%
33%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1998 |
FCP
4 - 3
VAR
86%
11%
3%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1998 |
VAR
2 - 1
BEL
43%
29%
28%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |