Vitória Setúbal vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
19.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1980 |
BOA
3 - 1
VST
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1980 |
VST
3 - 0
ESP
59%
25%
16%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1980 |
PEN
2 - 1
VST
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 1980 |
BEL
2 - 1
VST
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1980 |
VST
1 - 1
SCP
20%
28%
53%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1980 |
VAR
4 - 0
BEL
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1980 |
SCP
1 - 0
VAR
81%
13%
6%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1980 |
VAR
0 - 1
VIT
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1980 |
MAR
1 - 1
VAR
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1980 |
VAR
3 - 1
ACV
67%
21%
13%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |