Vitória Setúbal vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
14.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1964 |
LEX
1 - 0
VST
55%
23%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
VST
2 - 1
FAB
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1964 |
LGC
1 - 2
VST
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1964 |
VST
1 - 3
SCP
20%
23%
57%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1964 |
VIT
3 - 2
VST
70%
17%
13%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1964 |
SEI
2 - 1
VAR
56%
22%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
VAR
3 - 3
LEX
54%
22%
24%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1964 |
FAB
2 - 0
VAR
62%
19%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1964 |
VAR
2 - 0
LGC
67%
19%
14%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1964 |
SCP
2 - 0
VAR
87%
8%
5%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |