Vitória Setúbal vs Uniao Tomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
6.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
FCP
2 - 0
VST
42%
28%
31%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1973 |
VST
3 - 1
FAB
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
VST
0 - 0
BEL
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1972 |
FCB
2 - 3
VST
26%
27%
47%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1972 |
SCP
1 - 0
VST
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Uniao Tomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
UFT
0 - 6
BEL
31%
32%
37%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1973 |
FCB
1 - 0
UFT
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
UFT
1 - 1
SCP
14%
23%
63%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1972 |
COI
3 - 0
UFT
65%
20%
14%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1972 |
BMA
2 - 0
UFT
52%
26%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |