Vitória Setúbal vs União Santarém analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
1º
2º
2º
5
6º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
13 | 13 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
13 | 13 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 13 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 10 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
5 | 5 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 3 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 1 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
OEL
2 - 1
VST
57%
25%
19%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
VST
1 - 1
FAB
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ORI
3 - 3
VST
13%
21%
66%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
VST
3 - 0
JUV
65%
20%
14%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
FCB
0 - 1
VST
24%
25%
51%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
União Santarém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
USA
3 - 0
VIT
80%
14%
6%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
COI
1 - 0
USA
62%
23%
16%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
USA
2 - 1
LUS
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
RAB
0 - 1
USA
18%
24%
58%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
USA
2 - 1
GDF
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |