Vitória Setúbal vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
CHA
3 - 2
VST
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
VST
2 - 1
VAR
56%
23%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
PEN
3 - 3
VST
35%
28%
37%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
VST
2 - 0
POR
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
VST
1 - 1
BEL
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
UNM
3 - 1
FCM
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
OVA
1 - 0
UNM
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
UNM
0 - 0
LEX
30%
27%
43%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
SAN
0 - 0
UNM
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
UNM
3 - 0
MAI
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |