Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 1-0
Vitória Setúbal vs Uniao Lamas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.2%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
9%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.2%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.1%
4.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1976 |
VST
0 - 4
SLB
34%
26%
41%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1976 |
UNI
0 - 0
VST
24%
23%
53%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
VST
1 - 0
VIT
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
EST
1 - 1
VST
33%
30%
37%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
VST
3 - 0
ATL
73%
17%
11%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Uniao Lamas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1976 |
UNI
0 - 0
VST
24%
23%
53%
|
53 | 81 | 28 | 0 |