Vitória Setúbal vs UD Oliveirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.4%
7.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1946 |
BOA
5 - 1
VST
37%
21%
41%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1946 |
VST
1 - 4
BEL
35%
24%
41%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1946 |
SCP
2 - 3
VST
82%
11%
7%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1945 |
VST
5 - 0
SLE
47%
21%
31%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1945 |
OLH
2 - 0
VST
70%
15%
15%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
UD Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1946 |
OLI
1 - 0
VIT
46%
21%
34%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1946 |
OLI
2 - 3
ACA
47%
21%
32%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1946 |
BOA
3 - 0
OLI
73%
15%
12%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1945 |
OLI
0 - 1
BEL
10%
15%
76%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1945 |
SCP
3 - 0
OLI
94%
4%
2%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | -1 |