Europa League Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Vitória Setúbal vs Tottenham Hotspur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
26.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
SLB
3 - 0
VST
74%
16%
10%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1973 |
TOT
1 - 0
VST
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
VST
2 - 1
VIT
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
FAR
0 - 3
VST
19%
22%
59%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1973 |
VST
1 - 1
UFT
80%
14%
6%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Tottenham Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1973 |
STO
1 - 1
TOT
35%
29%
36%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1973 |
TOT
3 - 0
NOR
77%
15%
8%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1973 |
TOT
1 - 0
VST
72%
17%
11%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1973 |
TOT
1 - 0
NOR
82%
11%
7%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1973 |
TOT
3 - 0
EVE
70%
19%
11%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |