Vitória Setúbal vs Tirsense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.8%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.7%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.5%
3.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1972 |
BMA
2 - 2
VST
23%
27%
50%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
VST
1 - 1
BEL
74%
18%
8%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1972 |
FAB
2 - 2
VST
35%
26%
39%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1971 |
VST
2 - 0
FCP
62%
22%
15%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1971 |
FAR
0 - 2
VST
18%
22%
61%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1972 |
TIR
1 - 1
FAB
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
TIR
3 - 3
FCP
21%
26%
53%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 1972 |
FAR
2 - 0
TIR
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1971 |
TIR
3 - 5
SCP
13%
20%
67%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1971 |
VIT
7 - 1
TIR
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |