Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 3-2
Vitória Setúbal vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
50.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1964 |
SCP
0 - 0
VST
86%
9%
5%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
VST
2 - 2
SCP
26%
23%
52%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
OLH
1 - 1
VST
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
VST
3 - 0
SEI
66%
19%
15%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
VST
2 - 1
VAR
66%
19%
15%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1964 |
SCP
1 - 0
MTK
81%
11%
8%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1964 |
SCP
3 - 3
MTK
82%
11%
7%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1964 |
SCP
0 - 0
VST
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1964 |
SCP
1 - 0
LYO
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
VST
2 - 2
SCP
26%
23%
52%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |