Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 3-2
Vitória Setúbal vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
51.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
OLH
1 - 1
VST
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
VST
3 - 0
SEI
66%
19%
15%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
VST
2 - 1
VAR
66%
19%
15%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1964 |
LEX
1 - 0
VST
55%
23%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
VST
2 - 1
FAB
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1964 |
SCP
1 - 1
LYO
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
BEL
4 - 2
SCP
27%
25%
49%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
SCP
0 - 0
FCP
65%
19%
17%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1964 |
LYO
0 - 0
SCP
29%
24%
47%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
FCB
1 - 0
SCP
13%
19%
67%
|
88 | 50 | 38 | 0 |