Vitória Setúbal vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
SLB
3 - 2
VST
86%
9%
5%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1966 |
MAR
1 - 3
VST
45%
22%
33%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1966 |
VST
3 - 0
MAR
67%
16%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
VST
1 - 0
LEX
71%
17%
12%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
FCB
0 - 1
VST
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
SPB
3 - 5
VIT
43%
24%
33%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1966 |
SLB
3 - 1
SPB
90%
7%
4%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1966 |
SPB
4 - 1
SLB
22%
20%
58%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | +3 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
SPB
0 - 0
SLB
17%
20%
63%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
SPB
3 - 2
LUS
89%
8%
4%
|
60 | 33 | 27 | 0 |