Europa League 1/16
Global 4-0
Vitória Setúbal vs Spartak Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
12.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1971 |
VST
3 - 0
ATL
80%
14%
7%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
FCB
1 - 1
VST
28%
28%
44%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1971 |
SPA
0 - 0
VST
45%
25%
30%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
VST
5 - 1
BOA
76%
15%
9%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
UFT
0 - 3
VST
15%
20%
65%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1971 |
SPA
0 - 0
VST
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1971 |
KOS
2 - 1
SPA
34%
23%
44%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1971 |
SPA
2 - 0
KOS
75%
14%
11%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1970 |
BAS
2 - 1
SPA
28%
22%
50%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
SPA
3 - 2
BAS
78%
13%
9%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |