Vitória Setúbal vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
12.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2006 |
UDL
0 - 2
VST
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
VST
1 - 2
SCP
23%
24%
53%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
LIX
0 - 2
VST
9%
17%
75%
|
73 | 26 | 47 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
GFC
5 - 0
VST
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
VST
0 - 1
ACA
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
PEN
1 - 2
NAC
27%
28%
44%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
SLB
4 - 0
PEN
77%
16%
7%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
PEN
3 - 2
MAR
28%
30%
43%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
BEL
5 - 0
PEN
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2006 |
PEN
0 - 0
SPB
24%
29%
47%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |