Vitória Setúbal vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
POR
3 - 3
VST
41%
27%
33%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2004 |
EST
1 - 0
VST
36%
27%
38%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
FEI
0 - 0
VST
28%
27%
45%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
VST
3 - 0
NAV
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
SPC
2 - 0
VST
20%
25%
54%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
PEN
0 - 1
FCM
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
PEN
3 - 1
OVA
52%
25%
24%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
LEX
1 - 1
PEN
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
PEN
2 - 1
UNM
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
BEL
2 - 1
PEN
69%
20%
12%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |