Vitória Setúbal vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
15%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
SAL
1 - 0
VST
52%
28%
20%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1986 |
VST
0 - 1
SLB
18%
25%
57%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
SPC
1 - 1
VST
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1986 |
POR
1 - 0
VST
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
VST
2 - 2
VIT
53%
26%
22%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1986 |
UNM
0 - 1
PEN
64%
19%
17%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
PEN
1 - 1
VIT
33%
31%
36%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1986 |
MAR
1 - 0
PEN
50%
29%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
PEN
0 - 2
FCP
13%
30%
57%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1986 |
BOA
0 - 0
PEN
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |