Vitória Setúbal vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
18.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
VST
1 - 1
FCP
21%
30%
50%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
SPB
1 - 1
VST
57%
24%
18%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
VST
4 - 0
ACV
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
BEL
1 - 1
VST
53%
27%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
VST
0 - 1
SCP
22%
27%
51%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
PEN
0 - 1
SPB
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
ACV
1 - 0
PEN
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
PEN
3 - 1
BEL
47%
27%
25%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1981 |
SCP
6 - 0
PEN
83%
11%
6%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
PEN
2 - 0
RIO
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |