Vitória Setúbal vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
19.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1980 |
RIO
2 - 1
VST
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1980 |
MAR
2 - 0
VST
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1980 |
VST
0 - 0
SLB
21%
28%
51%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
VST
4 - 0
POR
63%
23%
15%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1979 |
SPB
3 - 1
VST
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1979 |
PEN
1 - 3
FAF
73%
15%
12%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
FAF
1 - 1
PEN
41%
22%
37%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
VIL
0 - 2
PEN
30%
23%
46%
|
65 | 24 | 41 | 0 |