Vitória Setúbal vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
32.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
FCP
2 - 0
VST
68%
21%
11%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
VST
0 - 4
SLB
18%
23%
58%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
BEL
2 - 1
VST
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
VST
0 - 3
SPB
34%
30%
36%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
TRO
0 - 1
VST
37%
30%
33%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2009 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
ACA
57%
24%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 3
PAÇ
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
EST
0 - 2
PAÇ
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
VIT
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
NAV
0 - 0
PAÇ
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |