Vitória Setúbal vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
SAN
1 - 0
VST
52%
25%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
VST
3 - 1
ACA
50%
24%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
FCP
3 - 0
VST
82%
13%
6%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
VST
0 - 2
MOR
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
VST
2 - 2
NAC
53%
23%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
PAÇ
3 - 3
NAC
53%
25%
23%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2003 |
UDL
0 - 1
PAÇ
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2003 |
UDL
1 - 0
PAÇ
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
PAÇ
1 - 3
SLB
21%
23%
56%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
BMA
3 - 1
PAÇ
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |