Vitória Setúbal vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1999 |
VIT
2 - 0
VST
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
VST
3 - 1
MAR
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1999 |
FAR
1 - 1
VST
46%
28%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1999 |
VST
0 - 0
BMA
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1999 |
RIO
1 - 1
VST
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
PAÇ
1 - 2
LEC
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
MAI
1 - 1
PAÇ
52%
25%
24%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
PAÇ
3 - 1
VAR
51%
27%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1999 |
GFC
0 - 0
PAÇ
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1999 |
PAÇ
2 - 0
SAN
41%
27%
33%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |