Vitória Setúbal vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
6.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
FAB
0 - 2
VST
29%
28%
43%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
VST
0 - 0
ESP
86%
10%
4%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
BOA
1 - 0
VST
29%
28%
43%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1974 |
LEX
2 - 0
VST
22%
28%
50%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
VST
1 - 2
FAR
82%
13%
5%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
ORI
2 - 0
VIT
27%
29%
44%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
FCP
4 - 0
ORI
77%
15%
8%
|
55 | 84 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
ORI
2 - 2
ACA
43%
28%
29%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1974 |
ORI
1 - 0
OLH
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
BEL
3 - 0
ORI
76%
15%
9%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | 0 |