Vitória Setúbal vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
6.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
BEL
2 - 1
VST
32%
29%
39%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1974 |
STU
1 - 0
VST
55%
23%
22%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
VST
6 - 1
LEX
80%
14%
6%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
BOA
0 - 1
VST
26%
28%
46%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
VST
0 - 0
BMA
81%
13%
6%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
ORI
2 - 1
FCB
37%
28%
35%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
OLH
4 - 1
ORI
61%
23%
17%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
ORI
0 - 3
ACA
35%
29%
36%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
SCP
8 - 0
ORI
85%
11%
4%
|
54 | 88 | 34 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1974 |
ORI
1 - 3
SLB
14%
25%
61%
|
54 | 88 | 34 | 0 |