Vitória Setúbal vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
12.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1957 |
SLB
4 - 0
VST
83%
11%
6%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1957 |
VST
4 - 0
SPB
62%
19%
19%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1957 |
SAL
4 - 0
VST
62%
18%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1957 |
VST
1 - 3
TOR
65%
19%
17%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1957 |
FAB
7 - 1
VST
50%
22%
28%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1957 |
ORI
3 - 2
SAL
50%
22%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1957 |
ORI
0 - 1
TOR
47%
24%
29%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1957 |
FAB
5 - 3
ORI
64%
19%
18%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1957 |
ORI
0 - 5
SCP
16%
21%
63%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1957 |
BEL
4 - 0
ORI
84%
10%
6%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | -1 |