Vitória Setúbal vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
16.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1954 |
ATL
1 - 0
VST
63%
18%
18%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
VST
7 - 1
BOA
61%
20%
19%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
BEL
3 - 1
VST
71%
16%
12%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
VST
1 - 3
SPC
55%
22%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
VST
1 - 0
SPB
53%
22%
25%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1954 |
ORI
2 - 1
SPB
48%
23%
29%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
LGC
6 - 2
ORI
66%
19%
16%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
ORI
2 - 4
SCP
10%
15%
76%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
FCP
6 - 1
ORI
90%
6%
4%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
ORI
3 - 2
ACA
53%
22%
25%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |