Vitória Setúbal vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
16.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1950 |
ACA
1 - 1
VST
65%
17%
18%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1950 |
SPC
3 - 2
VST
61%
18%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1950 |
VST
3 - 0
FCP
34%
23%
43%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1950 |
SPB
3 - 1
VST
55%
20%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1950 |
VST
0 - 2
ATL
49%
23%
28%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1950 |
ORI
1 - 0
SPC
40%
22%
38%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1950 |
FCP
3 - 0
ORI
86%
9%
5%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1950 |
ORI
2 - 0
SPB
42%
22%
36%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 1950 |
ATL
3 - 0
ORI
80%
12%
9%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1950 |
ORI
0 - 0
SCP
9%
13%
79%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | +1 |