Europa League 1/32
Global 2-2
Vitória Setúbal vs Nîmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
11.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1971 |
VST
4 - 0
BMA
82%
12%
7%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1971 |
VST
0 - 1
SCP
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 1971 |
SCP
1 - 1
VST
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1971 |
VST
1 - 1
FCP
69%
19%
13%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1971 |
FCP
0 - 1
VST
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1971 |
NÎM
2 - 1
REI
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1971 |
NAN
2 - 0
NÎM
54%
23%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1971 |
NÎM
3 - 0
ANG
77%
15%
8%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1971 |
NÎM
6 - 2
BAS
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 1971 |
ASS
1 - 3
NÎM
75%
16%
9%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |