Vitória Setúbal vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
SPC
2 - 0
VST
20%
25%
54%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
SCP
0 - 1
VST
78%
15%
7%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
VST
3 - 2
SAL
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
FEL
0 - 3
VST
33%
27%
40%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
VST
2 - 2
EST
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
NAV
1 - 1
FCM
75%
16%
9%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
VIT
0 - 2
NAV
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
OVA
1 - 2
NAV
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
NAV
5 - 0
LEX
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
UNM
2 - 2
NAV
27%
28%
46%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |