Vitória Setúbal vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
34.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
BOA
1 - 0
VST
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2017 |
VST
2 - 1
SCP
15%
20%
65%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2016 |
VST
1 - 0
ARO
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2016 |
VST
3 - 0
TON
50%
26%
23%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
VIT
3 - 1
VST
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 0
SPB
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 2
BOA
56%
25%
20%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
RIO
2 - 1
NAC
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 2
TON
61%
23%
17%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
MOR
3 - 1
NAC
31%
28%
41%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |