Vitória Setúbal vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
35.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
5 - 1
VST
53%
27%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
RIO
1 - 0
VST
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2009 |
VST
2 - 1
ACA
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
EST
0 - 0
VST
45%
28%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2009 |
VST
2 - 4
VIT
38%
29%
33%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
PAÇ
2 - 2
NAC
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
NAC
3 - 1
ACA
58%
24%
19%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
EST
1 - 0
NAC
36%
28%
36%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2009 |
NAC
3 - 0
VIT
47%
27%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
NAV
0 - 4
NAC
39%
28%
33%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |