Vitória Setúbal vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
36.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2009 |
VST
1 - 2
ACA
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
LEX
0 - 0
VST
46%
28%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2009 |
FCP
2 - 1
VST
70%
20%
10%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
VST
0 - 2
SCP
21%
26%
53%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
PAÇ
2 - 0
VST
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 1
FCP
24%
25%
51%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
PAÇ
2 - 3
NAC
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2009 |
ACA
1 - 1
NAC
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 4
FCP
22%
25%
53%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2008 |
SLB
0 - 0
NAC
66%
22%
13%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |