Vitória Setúbal vs Moncarapachense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
1º
2º
2º
3
7º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
13 | 13 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
13 | 13 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 13 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 10 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 5 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
3 | 3 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 1 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
USA
0 - 0
VST
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
VST
3 - 1
LUS
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
VST
20%
24%
57%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
VST
2 - 1
USA
44%
26%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
OEL
2 - 1
VST
57%
25%
19%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
MON
0 - 1
LUS
27%
25%
48%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
USA
2 - 1
MON
70%
19%
12%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
VST
20%
24%
57%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LUS
2 - 0
MON
51%
26%
24%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
JUV
2 - 0
MON
45%
26%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -2 |