Vitória Setúbal vs Moncarapachense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
6º
12º
9º
17
4º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 1
VST
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2023 |
VST
2 - 1
GDF
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2023 |
VST
0 - 1
CAS
8%
16%
77%
|
44 | 73 | 29 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
SCP
1 - 0
VST
40%
24%
37%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
VST
0 - 3
UDL
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 0
MON
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
CAL
34%
28%
38%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
GDF
2 - 4
MON
63%
21%
16%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
MON
2 - 3
SCP
30%
26%
44%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MON
1 - 2
UDL
22%
25%
54%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |