Vitória Setúbal vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
13.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
FAM
0 - 0
VST
48%
26%
27%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
VST
2 - 3
BEL
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
EST
1 - 0
VST
41%
27%
31%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
VST
2 - 0
SPB
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
VIT
5 - 0
VST
55%
25%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
BEL
3 - 0
MAR
65%
22%
13%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
MAR
1 - 1
SPB
34%
30%
36%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
SLB
3 - 1
MAR
90%
7%
3%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
FCP
3 - 1
MAR
94%
5%
2%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
FCB
2 - 0
MAR
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |