Vitória Setúbal vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
10.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
VIT
4 - 2
VST
62%
18%
20%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
OEL
4 - 2
VST
57%
19%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1949 |
VST
3 - 2
ACA
62%
18%
21%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
SLB
6 - 1
VST
84%
10%
7%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
VST
1 - 0
BEL
26%
23%
51%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
LUS
4 - 1
EST
14%
18%
69%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1950 |
OLH
4 - 2
LUS
85%
9%
6%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
VIT
4 - 1
LUS
82%
11%
7%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
LUS
2 - 1
OEL
38%
24%
38%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
ACA
2 - 0
LUS
82%
11%
8%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |