Vitória Setúbal vs Lusitano GC Évora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
21.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
VST
4 - 0
TOR
64%
19%
17%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1958 |
FCP
3 - 3
VST
78%
13%
9%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
SCP
2 - 0
VST
88%
8%
4%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
VST
1 - 1
SCP
21%
21%
59%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
VST
1 - 0
FAB
71%
16%
14%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
LGC
1 - 2
FCP
26%
23%
52%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1958 |
SPB
5 - 0
LGC
59%
20%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
FCB
4 - 0
LGC
57%
20%
23%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
LGC
3 - 2
FCB
68%
17%
15%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1958 |
LGC
1 - 0
ACA
55%
21%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |