Vitória Setúbal vs Lusitano GC Évora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
19.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
ORI
2 - 1
VST
52%
21%
27%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
VST
4 - 0
ATL
65%
18%
17%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
BEL
5 - 1
VST
79%
13%
8%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
VST
1 - 1
CAL
73%
15%
12%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1956 |
FAB
3 - 1
VST
57%
20%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
LGC
3 - 2
SPC
52%
22%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
ORI
3 - 1
LGC
48%
22%
30%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
LGC
2 - 1
SCP
20%
22%
59%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
ATL
3 - 7
LGC
58%
20%
22%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1956 |
LGC
1 - 2
SLB
17%
20%
64%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |