Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 5-2
Vitória Setúbal vs Lusitano GC Évora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20%
31.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1954 |
VST
4 - 1
ORI
65%
19%
16%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
ATL
1 - 0
VST
63%
18%
18%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
VST
7 - 1
BOA
61%
20%
19%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
BEL
3 - 1
VST
71%
16%
12%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
VST
1 - 3
SPC
55%
22%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1954 |
LGC
6 - 4
FCB
53%
22%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
VIT
3 - 1
LGC
47%
23%
31%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
LGC
6 - 2
ORI
66%
19%
16%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
ATL
3 - 2
LGC
63%
19%
19%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
LGC
1 - 1
BOA
65%
18%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |