Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Last 16
Global 1-2
Vitória Setúbal vs Hertha BSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
19.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
VST
2 - 2
FAB
75%
16%
9%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1969 |
ACA
0 - 3
VST
51%
24%
25%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1969 |
VST
4 - 0
BEL
71%
18%
11%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
VIT
2 - 1
VST
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1969 |
LIV
3 - 2
VST
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1969 |
BRE
1 - 0
HER
55%
22%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1969 |
HER
2 - 0
EBT
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1969 |
BVB
0 - 0
HER
55%
22%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1969 |
HER
3 - 0
KAI
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1969 |
JUV
0 - 0
HER
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |